Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.974825 3.300631 3.652947 4.063162 4.528815 5.042290 5.653155
2025-04-20 2.494785 2.930827 3.435296 4.065579 4.836825 5.756019 6.943704
2025-04-27 2.226063 2.728575 3.340150 4.146573 5.192830 6.519338 8.352530
2025-05-04 2.033448 2.578956 3.270635 4.223984 5.522761 7.258124 9.799930
2025-05-11 1.872772 2.444104 3.194025 4.267525 5.793153 7.927756 11.221019
2025-05-18 1.738309 2.325799 3.120623 4.297138 6.033634 8.566861 12.666370
2025-05-25 1.578312 2.155547 2.956338 4.175362 6.033056 8.841528 13.578481
2025-06-01 1.463540 2.037513 2.852738 4.127054 6.129166 9.261866 14.763384
2025-06-08 1.369761 1.941130 2.770603 4.099776 6.249138 9.724384 16.070015
2025-06-15 1.330459 1.920886 2.797993 4.241005 6.647541 10.678986 18.360780
2025-06-22 1.257225 1.843455 2.731210 4.224403 6.780504 11.194173 19.920075
2025-06-29 1.185552 1.763071 2.653139 4.181033 6.860665 11.620599 21.364812
2025-07-06 1.081104 1.626353 2.478848 3.966968 6.629678 11.472587 21.681731
2025-07-13 1.031930 1.574439 2.437771 3.976351 6.798882 12.086756 23.655676
2025-07-20 1.000714 1.549167 2.438040 4.056636 7.104560 12.996168 26.407780
2025-07-27 0.971016 1.524152 2.436399 4.132340 7.407787 13.935787 29.390832
2025-08-03 0.937756 1.490853 2.417874 4.174821 7.649498 14.777468 32.297489
2025-08-10 0.904734 1.455766 2.393523 4.203687 7.865760 15.590381 35.283815
2025-08-17 0.851033 1.381904 2.295887 4.085023 7.768170 15.706428 36.530417
2025-08-24 0.812245 1.331881 2.237736 4.037944 7.814593 16.148061 38.706765
2025-08-31 0.779168 1.290110 2.191922 4.011358 7.901547 16.692248 41.264882
2025-09-07 0.771024 1.292325 2.226931 4.148992 8.359451 18.169503 46.759932
2025-09-14 0.742695 1.256367 2.188254 4.132813 8.472220 18.823793 49.988538